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www.postzambia.com By Bright
Mukwasa and Kabanda Chulu
24.01.12
THE government has knocked out three zeros from the kwacha, a move that is aimed
at strengthening the local currency against major convertible currencies.
And analyst Chibamba Kanyama has supported government's
move to rebase the kwacha, saying economic stability should be anchored on
strong production, exports and fiscal discipline so that the zeros do not
resurface.
Meanwhile, finance minister Alexander Chikwanda says the
government has reversed the sale of Zamtel because it was sold corruptly.
Announcing the government's key policy decisions during a
media briefing in Lusaka yesterday, Chikwanda said the move to rebase the
currency was necessitated by the government's effort to address the costs
associated with an accumulated loss in the value of the kwacha, experienced
during episodes of high inflation that undermined the kwacha's basic function as
a store of value, medium of exchange and standard of value.
He said the move, which was approved by Cabinet yesterday,
would result in the removal of three zeros from the denominations of the K1,000
kwacha notes and above.
"For example, K1, 000 will be K1, K5,000 will become K5,
K10,000 will become K10, K20,000 will become K20 and K50,000 will become K50,"
Chikwanda announced at a media briefing in Lusaka yesterday. "In addition, the
Bank of Zambia will also reintroduce coins for lower value denominations. In the
accounting sphere, re-denomination of the kwacha will reduce time taken to input
financial data and time spent by management to review it."
He said the decision would also reduce costs often incurred
in customizing standard accounting packages that are purchased by businesses.
"The present situation in Zambia, where some organisations,
especially banks, record values of trillions of kwacha and hence require further
customization of such packages to widen data needs fields. Therefore rebasing
the kwacha will be of great importance to businesses and will reduce inputting
errors. This is further expected to reduce transaction costs for businesses and
the general public, and will tone down on inflationary spirals," Chikwanda said.
And the government has raised the minimum capital
requirement for commercial banks from the current K12 billion to K104 billion
for local commercial banks and K520 billion for foreign banks.
Chikwanda said the government also agreed in line with
section 83 of the banking and financial services Act to revise the minimum
capital requirement for the commercial banks.
"The measure to raise minimum capital requirement for banks
is intended to mobilise additional resources to enable banks participate more
effectively in growing the economy by increasing credit available to the private
sector. Further, the increase in the minimum capital requirement will make the
banks more resilient to economic shocks," he said.
Chikwanda explained that the rebasing of
the currency was not being done as a gimmick as those kinds of tricks had a
tendency of backfiring.
"It must not be done as a gimmick I must assure because if
it is being done as a gimmick, gimmicks backfire. If you have a very weak
economy and you want to upgrade the economy by just removing the zeros from the
kwacha when the goods and services are not available, the growth is not taking
place then you are just taking yourself for a ride…we made reference to the
fundamentals, the inflation is low, the economy is growing at a modest figure of
seven per cent but there is no reason why, if we get the ministries and
everybody working, our country cannot be growing at eight or 10 per cent per
annum," Chikwanda said.
He said that was what made the Chinese economy to grow
faster to even outstrip its neighbours like Japan to become the second largest
economy in the world.
And Kanyama said the government should be credited for the
decision as that was a pointer to the economy's stability.
"First, it is important to know that the debasing of the
currency will not actually translate into an improvement in the purchasing
power. However, the move will reduce transaction costs for many institutions.
The process of change will be quite tedious, expensive and cumbersome for
businesses and households, but will most likely have net benefits in the long
run. The critical challenge will be acceptance among citizens as many will see
this as a downgrading of their economic status; such as billionaires who will no
longer be considered as billionaires; and for workers who will see a perceptive
reduction in incomes," he said.
"The decision should be credited to many years of focus
towards the stabilization of the Zambian economy. The government has simply
signalled the economy is stable and what is needed now is to ensure this
economic stability is anchored on strong production, exports, fiscal discipline
so that the zeros do not come back again.
"It is a very strong challenge to the government to
continue to attract investment, growth of the GDP above seven percent per annum,
maintain the healthy reserves, stabilise debt-GDP ratios, maintain inflation at
below 10 per cent. These are the actual and more realistic fundamentals that
will support the debased currency and create an improvement in the lives of
people. There will be another benefit of recalling money that has been kept away
from the formal financial systems. Many individuals in the habit of storing
money in mattresses will for a while be compelled to bring this cash into
circulation. This activity will, however, have some temporary inflationary
pressures."
But Ng'andu Magande has cautioned that the removal of zeros
off the kwacha, if not properly handled, will send signals that the PF
government has failed to manage monetary policies.
Magande, who is former finance minister, said rebasing or
removing of zeros from a currency is usually done when the note is affected by
external factors beyond government control.
"If they are external factors beyond government's control
to appreciate its currency the way they did it in Zimbabwe because government
could not control people who were bringing US dollars into the country, then you
can pursue this path," Magande said, who is president for National Movement for
Progress (NMP)
"And this is the impression that will be built in the
market that the Zambian government has failed to manage its monetary regime to
an extent where all they can do only is removing zeros thus creating a situation
that the kwacha is very much valued, for example, from K5,000 to K5 per US
dollar so this will create a psychology that the currency has appreciated but in
fact it means it has failed to appreciate even to K3,000 because government has
failed to take certain monetary measures."
And University of Namibia senior lecturer Dr Kazhila
Chinsembu says the move to rebase the kwacha should signal a quick break from
the previous regime of Rupiah Banda.
Dr Chinsembu said governments often re-denominate their
currencies in order to reassert their credibility and commitment to
low-inflation economic policies.
"As a matter of urgency, the Patriotic Front government of
Michael Sata now wants to signal to voters in the post-election period that
times in Zambia have changed, that the previous government of Rupiah Banda
lamentably failed to manage our fiat currency, and that this move to rebase the
Kwacha should signal a quick break from the past," said Dr Chinsembi.
Meanwhile, Chikwanda said only apostles of kleptocracy and
high priests of theft who are not morally constrained to steal from the public
were crying the loudest over government's decision to repossess Zamtel.
"We made a decision to restore Zamtel back to the people of
Zambia.
Zamtel is a very viable company to be sold corruptly," he said.
Chikwanda said the PF government had irrevocable commitment
to the public and would do everything possible to ensure the company continued
to operate in the interest of Zambia.
Meanwhile, Bank of Zambia governor Michael Gondwe said the
process of rebasing the currency was likely to be done within six months.
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